In fact, those numbers might merely represent his floors.Ĭonsider Trout’s annual values according to Fangraph’s “dollars” metric, which is WAR converted to a dollar scale based on what a player would earn in free agency and measured in millions. But his performance has been so superior to both, a $40 million average annual value and $400 million guarantee would not seem unreasonable. Yes, Trout would be older than Harper and Machado at the start of a new deal. You don’t want to think about anything else.” But what is he going to do if the Angels offer him almost half a billion dollars before Opening Day, say, “Sorry, I’m not in the right state of mind?” Trout indicated on Friday that he would prefer to postpone talks until next off-season, telling reporters, “Obviously in spring training you try to get ready for the season. The Angels have made no secret of their desire to sign Trout to a second extension and prevent him from ever entering the free-agent market. Harper’s 13-year deal with the Phillies will expire after the ‘31 season, extending from age 26 to 38. A 10-year extension would run from 2021 to 2030, his age 29 to 38 campaigns. Trout, 27, has two years left on his current deal, each valued at $33.25 million. In Trout’s worst season according to the metric – 2017, when he missed more than six weeks with a torn ligament in his left thumb – he finished with 6.9 fWAR, a total Machado never has reached. But Trout has had five seasons that by fWAR were equivalent or better to Harper’s only dominant season, his 2015 National League MVP campaign when he finished with 9.3 fWAR. WAR is a cumulative measure, and Trout has played in more games (1,065) than Harper (927) and Machado (926). Trout’s career total in fWAR (64.7) is higher than the combined totals of Bryce Harper (30.7) and Manny Machado (30.2), who recently signed for $330 million and $300 million, respectively. To understand how much better Trout is than his peers, consider how he compares to Bryce Harper and Manny Machado in Fangraphs’ version of Wins Above Replacement (fWAR). And still, it would not be nearly enough.
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